First Release

Year: LIX.
Zagreb, 28 February 2023
NR-2022-1-1/4

ISSN 1334-0557

FIRST QUARTERLY GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT ESTIMATE,
FOURTH QUARTER OF 2022

The estimation of the gross domestic product (GDP) for the fourth quarter of 2022 is presented by major categories of expenditure and according to the NKD 2007. activity sections.

The quarterly GDP data focus on short-term movements of the economy, while the main purpose of the quarterly GDP estimate is the calculation of real growth rates.

The estimate shows that the quarterly GDP in real terms increased by 4.0% in the fourth quarter of 2022, as compared to the same quarter of 2021.

Seasonally adjusted quarterly GDP increased by 0.9% compared to the previous quarter and also increased by 4.2% in real terms compared to the same quarter of 2021.

The first estimate shows that the GDP in real terms increased by 6.3% in 2022, as compared to 2021.

1 GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT, REAL GROWTH RATES AND CURRENT PRICES

   2022
I ‒ III IV ‒ VI VII − IX X − XII
Non adjusted data, real growth rates (%)        
Comparison with the same quarter of previous year 7,8 8,7 5,2 4,0
Seasonally adjusted data, real growth rates (%)        
Comparison with the previous quarter 2,4 1,3 -0,5 0,9
Comparison with the same quarter of previous year 7,5 8,4 5,4 4,2
Current prices, mln euro        
Gross domestic product 14 387 16 863 18 881 17 259

The real growth rates of quarterly GDP by expenditure categories based on non-adjusted data are presented in table 2.

2 GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT ACCORDING TO EXPENDITURE APPROACH, REAL GROWTH RATES, COMPARISON WITH CORRESPONDING QUARTER OF PREVIOUS YEAR

%

   2022
I ‒ III IV ‒ VI VII − IX X − XII
Final consumption expenditure 6,1 4,8 4,3 2,9
Households 6,4 7,8 5,6 1,3
NPISH -0,2 -2,2 0,2 4,0
General government 5,8 -2,2 1,3 6,8
Gross fixed capital formation 2,0 3,9 8,0 9,6
Exports of goods and services 27,8 40,3 23,3 14,2
Goods (fob) 22,9 22,9 37,0 13,4
Services 36,0 66,7 18,4 13,9
Imports of goods and services 29,5 26,5 30,5 14,6
Goods (fob) 28,7 28,0 33,4 16,0
Services 34,1 17,1 15,3 7,8
Gross domestic product 7,8 8,7 5,2 4,0

A real growth is visible in all of the GDP categories on the expenditure side.

Table 3 shows the real growth rates of the quarterly gross value added (GVA) according to the NKD 2007. activity sections based on non-adjusted data.

3 GROSS VALUE ADDED ACCORDING TO PRODUCTION APPROACH, REAL GROWTH RATES, COMPARISON WITH CORRESPONDING QUARTER OF PREVIOUS YEAR

%

   2022
I ‒ III IV ‒ VI VII − IX X − XII
A Agriculture, forestry and fishing 7,9 8,7 5,5 3,3
B, C, D, E Manufacturing, mining and quarrying and other industries 4,0 5,5 2,4 -3,7
C Manufacturing 4,0 7,0 2,0 -3,0
F Construction 5,8 3,4 1,8 2,9
G, H, I Wholesale and retail trade, transportation, storage, accommodation and food service activities 22,2 29,5 8,6 6,3
J Information and communication 6,3 6,4 12,9 10,5
K Financial and insurance activities 2,8 0,0 1,9 2,0
L Real estate activities 1,6 -0,9 2,7 -1,7
M,N Professional, scientific, technical, administrative and support service activities 13,6 9,7 8,4 11,6
O, P, Q Public administration and defence, education, human health and social work activities 2,9 5,2 3,8 2,7
R, S, T, U Other service activities -4,2 2,4 1,2 5,0
GVA Gross value added 7,6 10,0 5,3 3,1

The first estimate shows that the quarterly GVA increased in real terms by 3.1% in the fourth quarter of 2022, as compared to the same quarter of 2021, based on non-adjusted data.

The increase in GVA was influenced by a significant increase in real value added in the activity Wholesale and retail trade, transportation, storage, accommodation and food service activities.

In Statistics in Line, the data by major categories of expenditure and according to the NKD 2007. activity sections at current prices, constant prices of the previous year, constant prices of the reference year (2015 = 100) and real growth rates are presented.

Detailed data can be downloaded on the link Statistics in Line.

 

Abbreviations        
           
mln million        
NKD 2007. National Classification of Activities, 2007 version
NPISH non-profit institutions serving households

 

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Suzana Šamec, Director of Macroeconomic Statistics Directorate
Lidija Brković, Director General

Prepared by:
Suzana Čajkušić, Jasna Medek, Nikola Motik, Ingrid Omerzo and Sanja Šmigoc

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